Followers of Newcastle United are increasingly seeing the team's outfit as a fickle companion. At their brilliant best, they can be the very entertainers, producing breathtaking performances. Yet, in other matches, previously reliable players like Sandro Tonali and others utterly do not show up.
Exacerbating this issue is a late-game game management riddled with a distinct element of panic. Ahead of their trip to Manchester United, the facts tell a troubling tale: the team has let slip 13 precious Premier League points from leading positions this term and are yet to keep a clean sheet in ten consecutive matches across all competitions. Securing a win at Old Trafford would constitute only their second league success on the road this year.
On the flip side, defeat has been tasted on one occasion in their previous six Premier League encounters, and although sitting in a seemingly lowly eleventh place, they are a mere 6 points behind the coveted Champions League places. Factor in an upcoming two-part Carabao Cup semi-final against the reigning champions and a reasonable chance of moving on to the Champions League last 16, and it becomes simpler to understand the manager's guarded optimism.
“Our issues aren't limited to difficulties,” said the club's boss. “We have assets as well. I am decidedly positive right now. I know others might have a opposing view, but I feel we're making progress.”
The puzzle remains: can this collection of players recreate – or perhaps eclipse – the heights of the previous campaign's Wembley triumph and fifth-place finish? Managing a hectic calendar complicates.
This tiredness may account for the failure to uphold a brilliant opening 45-minute showing versus Chelsea, ultimately squandering a 2-0 lead to tie 2-2. Likewise, it is possibly the explanation for a subdued performance in a damaging defeat to local rivals the Black Cats, where the side looked lethargic just a short time after a demanding European away day.
Although coaching is undoubtedly Howe's specialty, the constant schedule of twice-weekly football has severely reduced essential training time. This hinders the team's stylistic adaptation to operating with summer signing Nick Woltemade up front, instead of the now departed their former star. Although immensely gifted, the German forward has not shown the same blistering counter-attacking speed or relentless pressing.
In fact, the team's once-formidable high press has at times broken down. Injuries to vital engine the Brazilian midfielder have not helped, while big-money signings the Swedish winger and the English midfielder have had difficulties adapting since their combined £90m+ transfers.
If a change to a 3-5-2 could arguably assist the team, a severe backline injury crisis renders that problematic. Key defenders will be unavailable for the upcoming key matches, straining the squad's resources.
At their high-tempo peak, they look virtually unstoppable. The catch is maintaining that level for the full 90 minutes. The go-to plan B of dropping deep into a passive defensive shape has sometimes proven counterproductive.
“That game became anarchic at 2-2,” said the manager. “However we were going for the victory. Our mentality is to always try to secure the three points.”
What appears required is a pragmatic solution – involving better possession control, a midfield capable of controlling the pace, and a pragmatic willingness to sometimes accept a point. Yet, a desire to compete on every competitions is pushing finite player options to their breaking point.
It may sound sacrilegious to some, but a more selective approach in the domestic cups earlier could have eased the present fixture pile-up. With critical European & Premier League games on the agenda, the need to strategically prioritize is growing ever more clear.
The manager recognized the magnitude of the journey ahead. “Being involved a club of this size, the pressures are enormous. Every moment's pivotal. There is progress to be made in the league. We're in the Carabao Cup last four, we aim to go through in the Champions League and do well in the FA Cup.
“We're moving in the right direction, but we have plenty of improvement to do to become the regularly winning team we envision. Our capacity to string together winning runs has deserted us this season.
“The objective is to attain that standard we know we're able to reach. My feeling is that the self-belief we can do that is growing. Yet now we have to demonstrate it. It ain't all bad in this moment, but the upcoming fixtures will determine a great deal.”
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